Not been a good few weeks for Putin. Firstly, Iran has been decimated - you would imagine it will be difficult for them to supply drones to Russia in the current climate. Now, Orban has been ousted. Just need to get rid of Trump and Fico now 
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The thread opens with alarm as the invasion begins, quickly shifting from cautious speculation to shock and anger as reports confirm attacks on major Ukrainian cities. Early posts focus on troop buildups, civilian danger, NATO limits, and the belief that Russia has launched a war that will carry severe military, economic, and political costs.12
As the war grinds on, the discussion becomes dominated by battlefield updates, sanctions, atrocities, and repeated fears of escalation, including nuclear and chemical threats. Members debate the meaning of territorial gains and losses, condemn Russian propaganda, and increasingly frame the conflict as a struggle not just over land but over the survival of Ukrainian sovereignty.34
Later posts shift toward exhaustion with Western hesitation and then toward frustration at U.S. policy, especially under Trump, whose shifting positions on aid, ceasefires, and negotiations are treated as dangerously pro-Russian. The thread ends with a broad consensus that Ukraine cannot be forced into surrender terms, while Europe must become more self-reliant and skeptical of Washington's reliability.56
"In my view this doesn’t (or, can’t) end without the absolute end of the Putin era in Russia."
"We don't want this war and have never wanted it, But if Ukraine burns, your Moscow will burn too."
No lasting resolution is reached, but the thread does crystallize a shared view that Russia's demands are unacceptable and that Ukraine's survival depends on sustained external support. The strongest agreement is on the need for Europe to harden its stance, while the biggest open wound remains whether the West can still shape the outcome.
Ukraine struck a key oil refinery in Moscow early Thursday morning for the second time this week, Russian officials said, as Kyiv increasingly targets Russian energy infrastructure in long-range attacks.
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2077459710274416807
Russia's window of maximum bargaining power is summer-fall 2026. After this period, the balance shifts: the liquid part National Welfare Fund(~4 trillion rubles) is melting away at the current rate of withdrawal (~400 billion rubles per quarter), European rearmament is gaining momentum ($50–60 billion by 2027), Trump is focusing on the midterm elections and may lose interest in the "deal."